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EU Market Distorted, Restaurant Crisis Deepens

German subsidies distort EU competition, US restaurants face closures; Bitcoin shows bullish signs but battles whale selling, while Ethereum breaks out with strong fundamental support.

Friday, July 25, 2025
STORY OF THE DAY
STORY OF THE DAY

Monti's EU Competitiveness Warning

Former Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti has cautioned that extensive German subsidies are significantly distorting the EU's single market, creating a competitive disadvantage for industries in other member states, notably Italy. This surge in state aid followed pressure for increased flexibility after the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act. Data from the European Commission's 2024 state aid scoreboard confirms Germany as the bloc's leading spender, allocating over €50 billion in the past year.

Monti's concerns extend to the broader implications of relaxed EU rules on public subsidies and mergers, which he warns could ultimately harm European companies. He argues that while industrial policy aims to boost economic growth, bending merger rules or excessively loosening subsidy regulations risks undermining the single market's integrity. He advocates for careful consideration in fostering "European champions" and rigorous scrutiny of foreign subsidies to ensure fair competition.

Restaurant Industry Navigates Tumultuous 2025

The restaurant industry faces significant challenges in 2025, leading to widespread closures across the U.S. Escalating food costs, persistent staffing shortages, and increased rent contribute to a difficult operating environment, making profitability elusive. To merely break even, many establishments would need to raise prices by nearly 24%, a frequently unfeasible option for businesses already experiencing reduced customer traffic compared to pre-pandemic levels. This economic pressure has impacted a wide range of establishments, from local favorites to even Michelin-starred restaurants.

Minneapolis, for instance, has seen several notable closures, including Lurcat after 23 years, Sun Street Breads due to lease issues, and Edina Grill following an owner's passing. Beyond individual closures, the industry has also witnessed multiple pizza chains, like Bertucci's and various Domino's and Little Caesars franchisees, filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy to reorganize. Despite these widespread difficulties, some brands, like Del Taco, are attempting comebacks by repurchasing and reopening locations previously operated by struggling franchisees, aiming to restore quality and consistency.

IN OTHER NEWS
IN OTHER NEWS
  • Donald Trump's executive order aims to open 401k plans to private market investments, raising concerns about heightened risks for retirement savings.

  • Venture capital investment in climate tech saw a third consecutive annual decline in 2024, as detailed in a new PitchBook report.

  • Researchers are developing biofilters from agricultural waste that can remove up to 90% of toxic tire microplastics from waterways.

  • India's successful moon landing signifies a global trend towards the democratization of space, bringing new nations into lunar exploration.

  • UK holiday home prices are plunging in popular areas like Cornwall and Wales, as sellers struggle amidst increased council tax and market shifts.

  • Jeff Bezos recently sold 1.5 billion dollars worth of Amazon stock ahead of the company's Q2 earnings report.

CRYPTO
CRYPTO

Bitcoin's Conflicting Signals

Bitcoin's price is exhibiting indicators of parabolic growth, suggesting it may be entering the concluding phase of its bull run. Analysis on the weekly chart indicates the price is moving away from its established trend curve. Concurrently, a significant bull flag pattern has materialized on the daily chart. Both technical formations project a potential price target of $130,000, with Stochastic RSI indicators nearing oversold levels, hinting at an imminent upward reversal.

However, these bullish signals are counteracted by persistent selling pressure from an early Bitcoin miner, identified as an "OG whale". This large holder has reportedly sold 10,000 BTC, with an additional 2,850 BTC recently transferred to exchanges, indicating continued distribution. This ongoing whale activity significantly influences current market dynamics.

The bull flag pattern currently holds Bitcoin at a critical juncture. While a breakout could confirm upward momentum, a break below this formation could lead to a swift decline towards the $112,000 support level. The exact duration of this bull market cycle remains uncertain, influenced by substantial institutional capital inflows that diverge from historical patterns, creating a complex interplay of forces in the Bitcoin market.

Ethereum Poised for Significant Gains Amidst Bullish Indicators

Ethereum (ETH) has confirmed a breakout from a bull flag pattern, signaling a potential continuation of its upward trend. Following a recent correction that saw its price retest the $3,530 Fibonacci extension level, analysts project immediate targets at $4,100. Further ambitious targets include the previous all-time high of $4,870 and a higher Fibonacci extension level at $5,800, as indicated by recent technical analysis.

This bullish price action is reinforced by strong fundamental outlooks. Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, forecasts an acceleration in the trend of companies holding Ethereum in their treasuries. He predicts this will attract new investors willing to acquire ether even at premium prices.

Hougan further estimates that the demand for ether could outpace its production by a 7:1 ratio over the next year, potentially creating a significant demand shock. This confluence of validated technical breakouts and robust institutional demand suggests a strong upward trajectory for Ethereum, aligning with the projected price targets and indicating sustained bullish sentiment.

TRENDING IN CRYPTO
TRENDING IN CRYPTO
  • BioSig Technologies merged with Streamex Exchange Corporation to lead regulated Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization, focusing on commodities and gold-backed digital assets in the U.S. market.

  • Solana's price shows an imminent bull flag breakout, with analysts projecting long-term targets at $184, $252, and its all-time high of $295.

  • The Trump administration is reportedly considering allowing 401(k) investments in alternative assets, including cryptocurrencies and gold, which could significantly impact the $9 trillion U.S. retirement market.

  • Debifi, a non-custodial Bitcoin-backed loan provider, was ranked the second safest globally by Zone21.com, a research group emphasizing self-custody security.

  • Ghana plans to license crypto exchanges by September 2025, with the Bank of Ghana spearheading efforts to regulate digital assets and stabilize the national economy.